Tropical Cyclones – Then and Now

3 09 2016

History does repeat itself.

Even though 2015 was in El Nino mode and 2016 is in La Nina mode, there seems to be an eery similarity in the tropic cyclone pattern in the northeastern Pacific.  Late August/early September 2016  is looking a lot like the same period in 2015.  Check out this map of just a couple storms being tracked by Surfline’s HurricaneTrak.

090216 hurricanetrak 2

What isn’t shown is the disturbance west of Acapulco that may just be enough to jack up the waves for the 2016 Hurley Pro at Trestles and Swatch Women’s Pro.  Here is the National Weather Service advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

090216 nws hurricanes

Could be some fun contests in 2016, much like the contests in 2015.

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G-Man and G-Woman on a Date

31 07 2015

The date is July 31.  G-Man is Hurricane Guillermo (2015) and G-Woman is Hurricane Genevieve (2014).

Grasping at straws here.  But, did you notice that the “G-named” storms for both 2014 and 2015 are in almost identical positions in the Pacific on the same day of the year.  Could that mean we are in for a storm season similar to 2014?  Let’s see, what was the date of Hurricane Marie surf (Big Wednesday) in Southern California?

Check out this screen shot from HurricaneTrak (through surfline.com).

July 31 Hurricane Positions (Source:  HurricaneTrak, surfline.com)

July 31 Hurricane Positions (Source: HurricaneTrak, surfline.com)

Could we possibly get hurricane surf two years in a row?  It’s happened before in the 70’s.

Gotta’ go.  I need to order that step-up board I’ve been planning to buy for awhile.

See you on August 27, 2015 (Big Thursday).  If our favorite Uppers is maxed out, look for us at Newport Point, or at least Doheny.

Someone get Laird on the phone.

Update:  I just checked.  The A, B, and C storms of 2014 and 2015 were in similar areas of the Pacific as well.